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Table 3 Risk Prediction for Sudden Cardiac Death with NTproBNP and cTnI in 503 Hemodialysis Patients of the CHOICE Study

From: Association of NTproBNP and cTnI with outpatient sudden cardiac death in hemodialysis patients: the Choices for Healthy Outcomes in Caring for ESRD (CHOICE) study

 

Model 4a

+NTproBNP

+cTnI

+NTproBNP and cTnI

3-Year Risk

    

 C-Statistic

0.790 (0.728 to 0.851)

0.810 (0.757 to 0.864)

0.791 (0.732 to 0.849)

0.810 (0.756 to 0.864)

 Change in C-Statisticb

Ref

0.020 (−0.016 to 0.057)

0.001 (−0.019 to 0.021)

0.020 (−0.017 to 0.057)

 NRI, Binary

Ref

0.125 (0.032 to 0.219)

0.033 (−0.021 to 0.088)

0.133 (0.039 to 0.227)

 NRI, Continuous

Ref

0.262 (−0.048 to 0.572)

0.125 (−0.186 to 0.436)

0.212 (−0.098 to 0.522)

5-Year Risk

    

 C-Statistic

0.773 (0.723 to 0.823)

0.797 (0.751 to 0.843)

0.778 (0.730 to 0.827)

0.797 (0.751 to 0.843)

 Change in C-Statistic

Ref

0.024 (−0.004 to 0.053)

0.006 (−0.009 to 0.021)

0.024 (−0.005 to 0.053)

 NRI, Binary

Ref

0.063 (−0.028 to 0.154)

0.001 (−0.065 to 0.067)

0.072 (−0.020 to 0.164)

 NRI, Continuous

Ref

0.270 (0.046 to 0.495)

0.018 (−0.207 to 0.243)

0.356 (0.132 to 0.581)

  1. Abbreviations: SCD sudden cardiac death; NTproBNP, and N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide; cTnI cardiac troponin I; CVD cardiovascular disease; DM diabetes mellitus; C-statistic, concordance statistic, NRI net reclassification index
  2. a Model 4: Adjusted for demographics (age, sex and race), clinical factors [smoking status (ever versus never), Index of Coexistent Disease (ICED) score, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, congestive heart failure, body mass index and systolic blood pressure], left ventricular hypertrophy, β-blocker use and laboratory tests including hemoglobin, serum albumin, serum potassium, serum bicarbonate, serum corrected calcium and serum phosphate
  3. b Change in C-statistic by adding biomarker to the variables in Model 4